HI,
I hope you are having a great start of 2015 and wish you great health and success for this exciting new year!
2014 has seen several records shattered in many market segments and locations. A recap of the Manhattan Q4 2014 report is bringing new insight about what moved the market over the past 12 months with some perspective on the current level of inventory.
With the upcoming of about 6,500 new units on the market (almost 50% already in contract), I also found it necessary to talk about the concept of New Developments, explain what they are, and which segments of the market they’ll be affecting in the next year.
Finally, Brooklyn’s sellers’ market is becoming more and more challenging to navigate with a highly competitive pool of buyers, increasing prices, low inventories, and only a few New Developments scheduled to hit the market. (Brooklyn Q4 2014 included)
I truly hope that this newsletter will be beneficial and informative while shaping your future real estate plans. Please feel free to contact me should you want to consult on your real estate projects.
Cheers,
The area below Chambers street defined as the Financial District has experienced a tremendous transformation since the 9/11 attacks, which plunged the area into darkness for almost a decade. Subsequently, the residential, commercial and retail booms have revived the area with more to come.
In the early 2000’s, the area attracted renters in quest for a better bang for their bucks. The 24/7 full service doorman building lifestyle has its perks and despite the limited nightlife options at the time, the 10 subway lines available within 5 min walk from wherever you stand in the Financial District allow residents to quickly exit and be in the hottest nightlife spots or commute to work within minutes. Then, the real estate boom brought top of the line condominiums to the neighborhood such as 20 Pine Armani Casa, which was the first cross marketing condo development pairing a fashion designer with residential real estate. It was and still is a success.
The commercial landscape changes happen upon the 2008 financial crisis when the neighborhood witnessed many firms closing their offices, downsizing or simply relocating. Similar to the residential boom, non-typical Wall Street companies in need of more space for their money started to migrate to the area and enjoy class A building near a major transit hub. Ad agencies, tech and media firms among others have now replaced financial firms. The new World Trade Center also anchored a major tenant Condé Nast acting as a snowball effect since most of his midtown located vendors are now looking to move near the new headquarters. Proximity remains an important factor to maintain efficient relationship.
The retail has been the biggest challenge and is now seeing the expansion this area needs in order to become an all-star venue for locals and visitors. As mentioned in my May 8th 2014 Blog, Brookfield place along with the gallery under the Oculus will bring the most prestigious fashion brands and eateries to satisfy a demanding local clientele who often have to shop outside their neighborhood to find quality products.
With so much going on, real estate developers have been able to move forward with stalled projects by securing additional funding, that precedent events froze. Luxury condos are already in the area, but ultra luxury are not…yet. With land prices fetching $900 to $1000/sf and development costs reaching the $600-$800/sf for a decent product, a developer starting a project with these constraints would have to sell at $3,000/ft to see the risks worth the reward. To create a better spread one could look at either searching for a cheaper acquisition or reducing construction costs. The latter one is harder to handle with rising labor and material costs that a developer can’t always control. The first one is where developers can get creative and search for alternatives (i.e: cheaper) sites to build in, on or upon. It is definitely worth the challenge – keeping in mind the high demand for ultra exclusive and luxurious New York Real Estate. We can find a good illustration of this strategy by looking at Alchemy Properties project involving the Woolworth Building.
Located at 233 Broadway, the Woolworth building is a National and New York City historic landmark designed in the neo-gothic style by Cass Gilbert and built in 1913. It consists of about 58 stories reaching 792ft (241 meters) in heights that earned it the title of the tallest building in the World from 1913 to 1930. In 1998 the building traded hands for $137.5M to a partnership of Witkoff Group and Cammeby’s. Most recently, Alchemy Properties bought the top 30 floors totaling 106,000sf for $68M, or just about $640/ft. The price point is great, but the quality and uniqueness of the product acquired is even greater. The site is classified National landmark, boasts original and historical details that traditional new developments can’t replicate. Looking at the unit mix below, the development will offer 34 units (33 + 1 Penthouse).
The average ppsf excluding the penthouse is expected to fetch around $3,440/ft. The crown jewel will be the 8 level (Floor 50th-58th) Penthouse dubbed the Pinnacle (see floor plan below). The Penthouse is asking over $11,000/sf or $110,000,000, one of the priciest listing to ever hit the Manhattan market. The plans currently show the Penthouse as a 3-bed 3-baths with 3 powder rooms. The more than 4,700sf contains between the 50 and 51st floor will host the dining and living rooms. The subsequent floors will be arranged to have media room, library and an observation deck among other luxury features. Naturally, a private elevator will help navigating this 8-story sky-high mansion.
The long awaited project of the Second Avenue subway line dubbed “T Line” has recently shaken the real estate activity on the Upper East Side, east of 3rd Avenue. The T Line – which will eventually run 8.5 miles from 125th Street to Hanover Square – has been in the plans for decades and long been awaited by commuters on the overcrowded Lexington 4,5,6 line. Now that the project finally broke ground, and is getting some momentum, with an anticipated opening date of 2016 for the stretch of 86th Street to 63rd Street, we can witness an increasing interest for properties located on the east side of 3rd Avenue among prospective buyers.
According to data provider CityRealty, the average sales price of Upper East Side condo east of Third Avenue was $1.57M compared to $2.34M for the entire Upper East Side. Activity in 2013 suggests that the gap is narrowing. Indeed, average price per square foot (ppsf) for condos on and eastward of Third Avenue increased 11.4%, above the 10.4% for the overall neighborhood. Similarly, co-ops average ppsf increase 7.7% compare to 5.3% for the entire area.
One of the most noticeable developments highlighting this trend is the condominium building at 515 East 72nd Street, where half of the 142 one-bedroom apartments closed between summer 2012 and 2013. Overall 90% of the 329 units have been sold which brought the building to the list of the 10 best-selling New York City building of 2013. This “spa-like” condo offers outstanding services and wellness amenities such as a pool, yoga rooms, rock climbing wall and fitness center which have been a major draw for prospective buyers. Over the past 12 months, sales averaged $1,318/sf and currently available apartments are asking $1,638/sf on average.
Another influential development which also made it to the list of the 10 best-selling New York City building of 2013 is the Manhattan House. A 513 unit luxury condominium conversion located on 66th Street off 3rd Avenue, where sales averaged $1,713/sf in the past 12 months while currently available apartments are asking $2,107/sf. The building offer five star hotel concierge services, full-time residence manager, valet, parking service, rooftop Manhattan Club with 10,000 square feet of interior and exterior entertainment space, Exhale Mind Body Spa & Fitness club, yoga studio, a bike storage, and children’s playroom designed by Roto.
Many of the high rise condominiums on the East side of 3rd Avenue offer sweeping river and city views but without the premium of their Midtown and downtown counterparts. It’s also an area that is not so congested, offers access to major food merchants, big box retailers, restaurants and located a few blocks away from Madison Avenue shopping strip